The Implications of Donald Trump's 2024 Presidential Election Victory

 

      The 2024 US presidential election concluded with Donald Trump emerging victorious, marking his return to the White House. This outcome has significant implications for the United States and the global community. Here are some key areas where we can expect notable impacts:

1. Economic Policies

Trump's economic agenda is likely to focus on higher tariffs, lower taxes, and deregulation. His administration may push for policies that favor American businesses and aim to reduce the trade deficit. However, these measures could also lead to trade tensions with other countries, potentially impacting global markets.

2. Foreign Relations

Trump's foreign policy is known for its unpredictability. His approach to international relations often involves a mix of assertiveness and negotiation. Key areas to watch include the US's stance on NATO, relations with China, and involvement in ongoing conflicts such as the Israel-Gaza and Russia-Ukraine wars. Allies and adversaries alike will be closely monitoring how his administration navigates these complex issues.

3. Domestic Policies

Domestically, Trump's victory may lead to significant changes in immigration policies, healthcare, and environmental regulations. His administration is expected to continue efforts to strengthen border security and reduce illegal immigration. Additionally, there may be shifts in healthcare policies aimed at reducing costs and increasing competition.

4. Social and Political Climate

Trump's return to the presidency is likely to further polarize the American political landscape. His leadership style and policies often elicit strong reactions from both supporters and opponents. This polarization could impact legislative processes and the overall social climate in the country.

5. Global Implications

The global community will be closely watching how Trump's presidency affects international trade, climate agreements, and geopolitical stability. His administration's decisions could have far-reaching consequences for global economic growth and diplomatic relations.

    As the Philippines has over the decades connections with  Americans, this relationship is further strengthened by extensive economic cooperation, educational exchanges, and development assistance aimed at promoting democratic governance, economic growth, and regional stability. Despite occasional challenges, such as shifts in foreign policy and regional dynamics, the U.S. and the Philippines continue to maintain a "special relationship" characterized by enduring friendship and strategic collaboration, thus, any change in the governance and policies of the US can somehow affect or have some implications for the Philippines in terms of the following:

1. Economic Impact

Trump's administration may focus on renegotiating trade deals to favor the US, which could affect the Philippines' export market. The Philippines might face higher tariffs on goods exported to the US, impacting industries such as electronics and textiles.  Additionally, changes in US economic policies could influence remittances from Filipinos working in the US, a significant source of income for many families in the Philippines. 

2. Foreign Relations

The Philippines has historically maintained strong ties with the US. Trump's return to the presidency could mean a continuation of this relationship but with a focus on mutual benefits. The US might increase its military presence in the Indo-Pacific region, which could enhance security cooperation with the Philippines.  However, Trump's "America First" policy might also lead to a more transactional approach to alliances. 

3. Immigration Policies

Trump's stringent immigration policies could affect Filipinos living in the US, particularly those without legal status. There may be increased deportations and stricter visa regulations, making it more challenging for Filipinos to migrate or reunite with family members in the US.  This could also impact the flow of remittances back to the Philippines.

4. Geopolitical Stability

The Philippines' strategic location in the South China Sea makes it a crucial ally for the US in countering China's influence in the region. Trump's administration might bolster support for the Philippines in territorial disputes with China, potentially leading to increased military aid and joint exercises. However, this could also escalate tensions in the region.

5. Social and Political Climate

Trump's presidency might influence the political landscape in the Philippines, particularly in terms of populist rhetoric and policies. His leadership style could resonate with certain political figures in the Philippines, potentially shaping domestic policies and governance approaches. 

In conclusion, Donald Trump's victory in the 2024 election sets the stage for a dynamic and potentially turbulent period in US and global politics. As his administration begins to implement its policies, the world will be watching closely to see how these changes unfold.

Overall, while there are potential benefits in terms of security and economic cooperation, there are also challenges, particularly in the areas of immigration and trade. The Philippines will need to navigate these complexities carefully to maintain a balanced and beneficial relationship with the US under Trump's administration. 

The Current Political Landscape in the Philippines: A Prelude to the 2025 Elections

As the Philippines gears up for the 2025 midterm elections, the political atmosphere is charged with anticipation and uncertainty. The upcoming elections will see the election of 12 new senators, 63 party-list representatives, and over 18,000 local officials, from governors to city councilors. Here’s a closer look at the key elements shaping the current political situation.

Shifting Political Alliances and Key Players

The political landscape is witnessing significant shifts, with notable figures making strategic moves. Recently, Imee Marcos withdrew from the administration coalition’s Senate slate, a decision that has stirred discussions about the coalition's stability and future strategies. On the other hand, Chel Diokno has been named as the first nominee for Akbayan’s 2025 reelection bid, signaling a robust campaign from the opposition.

Voter Registration and Engagement

The Commission on Elections (Comelec) has reported a substantial increase in voter registration, with around 3.4 million new voters registered. However, approximately 5.37 million voters are set to be deactivated for failing to vote in two consecutive polls. This dynamic could significantly impact the election outcomes, as new voters bring fresh perspectives and priorities to the political arena.

The Impeachment Prospect

One of the most contentious issues currently is the potential impeachment of Vice President Sara Duterte. The momentum for her impeachment is growing, and this development is expected to influence political allegiances and voter sentiment leading up to the elections. The outcome of this political maneuver could reshape the power dynamics within the government.

Political Dynasties 

Political dynasties continue to dominate the Philippine political scene. Despite the constitutional ban on  political dynasties, enforcement remains a challenge. The Marcos family, for instance, has a significant presence, with multiple family members holding key positions. Similarly, the Duterte family maintains strong political influence, particularly in Davao. This persistent dominance of political families raises questions about equitable access to public service and the true representation of the electorate's will. Among the prominent political dynasties include the Ampatuan, Abalos, Aquino, Binay,  Ejercito-Estrada, Bautista-Revilla, Ortega, and Aguilar-Villar.(note) Recently, Batangas governor and movie actress Vilma Santos-Recto is criticized when she announced the candidacy of his two sons in the same province.  

Issues and Campaign Focus

Candidates and political parties are gearing up to address critical issues that resonate with the electorate. Economic recovery post-pandemic, corruption, and social justice are likely to be at the forefront of campaign agendas. The electorate's response to these issues will play a crucial role in determining the election results.

Conclusion

The 2025 midterm elections in the Philippines are set to be a pivotal moment in the country’s political history. With shifting alliances, a surge in voter registration, and the looming prospect of an impeachment, the political landscape is both dynamic and unpredictable. As the election season progresses, it will be essential to stay informed and engaged with the developments that will shape the future of the Philippines.

What are your thoughts on the upcoming elections? Do you have any specific concerns or hopes for the future leadership?

The 4th of July

image credits to Christopher Ramos/GMA Network online

The 4th of July also popularly known as ID4, for the Americans, was the day they become independent. Independence day is celebrated every 4th of July, the day the United States of America has been established. The independence was ratified by the Second Continental Congress on 1776 of July 4. The Second Continental Congress was a meeting of 13 colonies that united the American Revolutionary War. This is actually a separation from the British government which happened on July 2, 1776, and is believed to be the real Independence day.

The 4th of July is being celebrated by the Americans as it marks the day the United States has become its own nation. Americans celebrated it with parades, fireworks, and festivals. Watch the highlights of the celebration in New York and Washington DC.

image credits to Wall Street Journal youtube

Coincidentally, it was the day the Philippines has been recognized as an independent and sovereign country by the American government. It was July 4, 1946, as the Philippines were under its rule for 48 years after the 333 years of Spanish colonization. July 4 back then is being celebrated as Republic Day  It was a national non-working holiday until the late former president Ferdinand Marcos, changed it to Philippine-American Friendship Day, and became a working holiday. Then the former president Cory Aquino abolished it as a national holiday. 

I still believe that July 4 is the correct Independence Day for the Philippines and not June 12, 1898. Yet the islands were free from Spanish colonization but they had just passed it on to the United States of America. It becomes totally independent as a nation on July 4, 1946.